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AI-PCs Poised to Dominate by 2029, According to Analysts

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Gartner projects that AI‑capable PCs will make up about 31% of the global PC market by the end of 2025, with shipments exceeding 77 million units, and could reach 55% market share in 2026 before becoming the norm by 2029, driven by enterprise and consumer demand, hardware refresh cycles, and stronger edge‑AI integration—although adoption is slightly tempered by trade‑induced uncertainty and tariffs. Meanwhile, HP reports that AI‑PCs already make up over 25% of its product mix, boosting its revenue and driven by partnerships with software players like Adobe and Zoom that expand on‑device AI capabilities, pointing to a growing ecosystem around these machines. Finally, Intel highlights that the biggest barrier to wider AI‑PC adoption is not hardware, but lack of understanding and training: while many decision‑makers see their value, only 35% of employees understand AI’s benefits, and concerns around security and insufficient training remain obstacles.
Sources:
IT Pro
,
Windows Central,
TechRadar
Key Takeaways
– AI‑PCs are rapidly moving from novelty to mainstream, with expectations they’ll dominate the market by 2029, led by refreshed enterprise fleets and consumer upgrades.
– Manufacturers like HP are already benefitting, with AI‑PCs driving significant portions of revenue and buoyed by AI software ecosystems.
– Awareness and training lag behind hardware advances—even with adoption growing, many users don’t fully grasp AI’s value, posing an adoption barrier.
In-Depth
The rise of AI-capable PCs marks a prudent and forward-looking turning point in personal computing, and the forecasts are compelling.
Analysts at Gartner anticipate that nearly a third of PC units shipped globally in 2025 will feature built-in AI capabilities—surpassing the 77 million mark—and expect this trend to accelerate even further in 2026, capturing roughly 55 percent of the total market. The firm asserts that by around 2029, AI PCs will become standard in both enterprise environments and consumer households.
The momentum is fueled by scheduled hardware refresh cycles, the appeal of local “edge AI” processing, and broadening demand from businesses and individuals alike. Yet, some headwinds remain—specifically, tariffs and cautious buying behavior amid economic uncertainties have caused minor delays in adoption. Still, businesses seem resolute, investing now to ensure they’re ready for an AI-integrated future.
HP’s recent financials underscore the growing strength of AI-PC adoption. The company reports that AI PCs now account for more than a quarter of its product mix, contributing significantly to a year-over-year revenue uptick. This success is buoyed by partnerships with software providers like Adobe and Zoom that are embedding AI capabilities directly on the device—making local processing not just a novelty but a driver of productivity.
At the same time, Intel’s own research reveals a crucial, often-overlooked barrier: the human side of adoption. While most IT leaders understand the strategic value of AI PCs, just about a third of employees truly grasp their benefits—leaving adoption potential constrained by gaps in awareness, training, and security concerns. As AI-enabled devices proliferate, organizations that proactively educate and secure their users will likely gain the greatest payoff.