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      Home»Opinion»Who Gets to Hit the Brakes in an AI Slowdown?
      Opinion

      Who Gets to Hit the Brakes in an AI Slowdown?

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      Artificial intelligence is advancing at a pace that makes even many of its architects uncomfortable. Each new generation of models seems more capable, more autonomous, and more deeply embedded in commerce, education, medicine, defense, communications, and everyday life. That has produced an increasingly serious question: Should society deliberately slow AI development?

      There is another question that should come first: Who gets to decide?

      Calls for an AI slowdown often begin with legitimate concerns. Powerful systems can be abused. Jobs will be disrupted. Deepfakes can undermine trust. Automated systems can make consequential mistakes. Governments and criminals alike can exploit AI for surveillance, fraud, propaganda, and cyberattacks. As capabilities increase, so does the possibility of risks we have not anticipated.

      But recognizing risk does not automatically establish government authority to dictate the speed of technological progress.

      Most AI development occurs in the private sector. Companies invest enormous sums in chips, data centers, software, research, and talent because they believe artificial intelligence can create products people will buy and productivity improvements businesses will value. Investors voluntarily risk capital. Engineers voluntarily develop systems. Customers voluntarily decide whether those systems are useful.

      In a free economy, that matters.

      Government unquestionably has a legitimate role when conduct crosses established legal boundaries. Fraud remains fraud whether committed with a telephone or an AI model. Theft remains theft whether someone steals a physical document or proprietary training data. Companies can be held responsible for violating privacy laws, contractual obligations, intellectual-property protections, consumer-protection statutes, or national-security restrictions.

      Regulating harmful conduct, however, is different from ordering an industry to innovate more slowly.

      A government-directed slowdown would immediately confront a practical problem: What exactly constitutes “slowing down”?

      Would Washington limit computing power? Restrict the number of advanced chips a company may purchase? Require federal approval before training a sufficiently large model? Establish capability thresholds beyond which developers cannot proceed? Require licenses for AI laboratories?

      Every mechanism eventually leads to the same place: government officials deciding which technologies private companies may develop and when they may develop them.

      That should make conservatives particularly cautious.

      Regulatory systems created to address extraordinary risks rarely remain confined to extraordinary circumstances. Agencies acquire budgets, staffs, constituencies, and institutional incentives. Temporary oversight becomes permanent bureaucracy. Licensing regimes originally aimed at the largest corporations eventually affect smaller competitors.

      There is also an economic problem. Regulation tends to favor incumbents.

      Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon, and other technology giants possess armies of lawyers, compliance specialists, lobbyists, and government-relations professionals. A startup operating out of a modest office does not. A complicated federal AI licensing structure could therefore produce the opposite of its advertised purpose: rather than restraining Big Tech, Washington could build a regulatory moat around it.

      Then there is China.

      Artificial intelligence is not developing exclusively inside American borders. A unilateral American slowdown would not freeze global technological progress. Chinese laboratories would continue experimenting. European, Middle Eastern, and Asian firms would continue investing. Open-source communities would continue building models around the world.

      America cannot safely assume its competitors will honor restraints Washington imposes on American companies.

      That does not mean every AI development should receive a laissez-faire blessing. National-security applications deserve scrutiny. Systems controlling critical infrastructure require rigorous standards. Companies should face consequences when products cause legally recognizable harm through negligence or misconduct. Congress should also examine whether existing liability, privacy, antitrust, intellectual-property, and consumer-protection laws adequately address genuinely new problems created by AI.

      But those are rules governing conduct and consequences, not commands governing the permissible speed of human invention.

      There is also room for voluntary restraint. Private companies can postpone releases, conduct safety testing, establish independent evaluations, share information about emerging threats, and refuse to deploy systems they consider dangerously immature. Insurers, investors, customers, corporate boards, and competitors can create powerful incentives for responsible behavior without placing Washington in charge of technological advancement.

      That distinction is crucial.

      The question should not be whether artificial intelligence is potentially dangerous. Nearly every transformative technology carries danger. Automobiles kill people. Pharmaceuticals can cause catastrophic side effects. The Internet enabled unprecedented fraud, espionage, and exploitation. Yet the American approach has generally been to establish rules against identifiable harms while preserving room for innovation.

      AI deserves serious oversight, but oversight is not synonymous with central planning.

      Once government claims the authority to determine how rapidly lawful private research may advance, the precedent extends far beyond artificial intelligence. Biotechnology, robotics, quantum computing, energy technology, and whatever comes next could face the same logic.

      The better principle is straightforward: regulate demonstrable harms, protect national security, enforce accountability, and allow private enterprise to compete.

      The government should be the referee of lawful commerce, not the throttle controlling human ingenuity.

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